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SD Projections — Manipulation Leg Targets

Standard-deviation projections of manipulation legs with −2/−2.5 and −4 zones, confluence marks, FVGs and equal highs/lows.

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What it does

SD Projections finds the manipulation leg behind each change in the state of delivery and projects it forward in standard deviations. It draws targets and confluence; it does not give buy or sell signals in the main edition.

How it works

  1. A run of down candles makes a low; the first candle's open is the CISD level.
  2. When a candle closes above that open, the run's low becomes level 1 and its high level 0 (mirror for bearish legs).
  3. Optional filters: the leg must sweep the lowest low of the previous 20 bars and must be at least 0.5 × ATR(14).
  4. Levels 1, 0, −1, −2, −2.5 and −4 are drawn. The −2/−2.5 block is the primary reaction area; the −4/−4.5 block is maximum expansion.
  5. Events are marked: −2 reached, a close beyond −2.5 (continuation to −4 becomes more likely), −4 hit, and invalidation on a close back beyond 1.
  6. Unmitigated fair value gaps and equal highs/lows are drawn; a ◆ marks a projection level that lines up with one of them, or a −4 that sits inside another projection's −2/−2.5.

How to use it

Work top-down: use a higher timeframe for direction, put the indicator on the middle timeframe to find legs and targets, and execute on a lower timeframe. Treat −2/−2.5 as the first objective and give most weight to levels marked ◆. The ProSuite edition adds an order-block retest entry with a stop beyond the sweep and targets at −2 and −4.

Settings

InputDefaultWhat it changes
Levels1, 0, −1, −2, −2.5, −4Which projection lines are drawn
Leg must sweep liquidityOnOnly legs that take a prior low/high qualify
Min leg size0.5 × ATRFilters out small, noisy legs
Points of interestOnFVGs and equal highs/lows used for ◆ confluence

Limitations

Projections are a framework, not a forecast; a trending market can run through every level. Average legs tend to reach −2/−2.5, small expanding legs −4, and very large legs often only −1, so read the leg size before expecting a target.

Key inputs

Key inputs of SD Projections — Manipulation Leg Targets
InputDefaultDescription
Levels1, 0, -1, -2, -2.5, -4Fib levels drawn from the manipulation leg.
Leg must sweep liquidityOnThe leg extreme must take out the 20-bar low (or high) before it.
Min leg size0.5 × ATR(14)Ignores legs that are too small to project.

Educational tools, not advice. Indicators and Expert Advisors describe price; they do not predict it, and past behaviour does not guarantee future results. Test everything on a demo account first and never risk money you cannot afford to lose. See our disclaimer.

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